Symposium IC01:
Decadal Variability and Predictability
Convenors: A.J. Busalacchi, J.W. Hurrell
Monday 22 October Room: C. Tejedor (CT) Morning
Session:
Decadal Variability and predictability of the ocean-atmosphere system for the Pacific and Indian Ocean.
Chairperson: J.W. Hurrell
0800-0820 IC01-12 B. WANG, S. An
A mechanism for decadal change of ENSO behavior around the late 1970s.
0820-0840 IC01-16 E. GALANTI, E. Tziperman
The equatorial thermocline outcropping - a seasonal control on the Tropical Pacific Ocean-atmosphere instability.
0840-0900 IC01-41 M. NONAKA, S. -P. Xie, J.P. McCreary
Decadal variations of the STC and equatorial SST in a Pacific OGCM.
0900-0920 IC01-04 J.-J. LUO, T. Yamagata
Long-term ENSO variation with special emphasis on the South Pacific.
0920-0940 IC01-44 M.J. MCPHADEN, D. Zhang
Decadal spin-down of the Pacific Ocean shallow.
0940-1000 IC01-19 withdrawn
 
1000-1020 coffee break
1020-1040 IC01-05 N.E. GRAHAM, H.F. Diaz
Intensification of North Pacific winter cyclones since 1948.
1040-1100 IC01-27 G. AUAD, A.J. Miller
Upper ocean heat budget in the Kuroshio-Oyashio extension for decadal to interdecadal timescales.
1100-1120 IC01-48 P.S. SCHOPF
Extratropical ocean expression of decadal ENSO variability.
1120-1140 IC01-36 A.J. MILLER, N. Schneider
Predicting climate changes of the Western North Pacific Ocean.
1140-1200 IC01-45 R.C. WAJSOWICZ, E.K. Schneider
Coupled mechanisms involved in decadal-scale.
1200-1220 IC01-29 C.J.C. REASON, T.J. Ansell
Low frequency variability in the South Indian Ocean region.
1220-1430 Lunch
Monday 22 October Room: Carlos Tejedor (CT)   Afternoon
Session: Decadal Variability and predictability of the ocean-atmosphere system for the Atlantic Ocean.
Chairperson: A.J. Busalacchi
1430-1450 IC01-14 J.W. HURRELL, M.P. Hoerling
Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change.
1450-1510 IC01-46 F. KAUKER, R. Gerdes, M.J. Karcher, C. Koeberle
Variability of the North Atlantic current and predictability.
1510-1530 IC01-24 A.F. ZUUR
Decadal variability of Atlantic/Arctic water mass characteristics using multivariate time series analysis.
1530-1550 IC01-02 B. RODRIGUEZ-FONSECA, M. Castro
A subtropical Atlantic predictor for the European winter precipitation.
1550-1620 Mate break
1620-1650 IC01-32 W. HAZELEGER, A. Sterl, S.S. Drijfhout
Decadal variability in the upper South Atlantic Ocean.
1650-1700 IC01-31 A. LAZAR, A.J. Busa, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, P. Delecluse
The impact of subtropical anomalies of atmospheric forcing on the Equatorial thermocline in an Atlantic Ocean GCM.
1700-1720 IC01-03 T.M. JOYCE, J. Yang
On the ocean's role in regulating the SST dipole in the Tropical Atlantic.
1720-1740 IC01-13 R. MURTUGUDDE, J. Ballabrera, J. Beauchamp, A.J. Busalacchi
Relationship between zonal and meridional modes in the Tropical Atlantic.
1740-1800 IC01-26 Withdrawn
 
1800-1820 IC01-18 Withdrawn
 
Tuesday 23 October FOYER Morning 0830-1230
Poster Session
Chairperson: A.J. Busalacchi, J.W. Hurrell
IC01-01 S.A. VENEGAS, M.R. Drinkwater
Coupled sea ice, atmosphere and upper ocean variability in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica.
IC01-07 J. SERVAIN, J.L. Mélice
The Tropical Atlantic dipole and its relationships with SOI and NAO indices.
IC01-09 G.W.K. MOORE, G. Holdsworth Alverson
Influence of ENSO and "ENSO-like" variability on the climate of Northwestern North America since 1736 as expressed in an ice core from Mount Logan.
IC01-15 J.W. HURRELL
The annual cycle of climate change over the Tropical and North Atlantic.
IC01-20 withdrawn
 
IC01-22 K. SHADANANAN
Influence of SST variations in the Arabian Sea on the climate shifts in Kerala.
IC01-23 F. VAUCLAIR, Y. Dupenhoat
Interannual variability of heat and mass budget in the upper layer of the Tropical Atlantic between 1979 and 1999.
IC01-25 G. AUAD, A.J. Miller, J.O. Roads, W. White
Seasonal forecasts of anomalous ocean conditions in the North Pacific.
IC01-37 G. GARRIC, I.N. James, C.E. Tansley
Low frequency variability with a simple sea ice-atmosphere dynamics coupled model in the Southern Hemisphere.
IC01-30 C. ROY, C.J.C. Reason
ENSO modulation of the coastal upwelling off West Africa.
IC01-34 S.C. URIZAR, B.S. Giese, S. Fuckar
Southern Hemisphere origins of the 1976 climate shift.
IC01-35 U. SEND, W. Zenk, M. Rhein, T. Kanzow
Monitoring the meridional overturning transport in the Tropical West-Atlantic.
IC01-39 B. DEWITTE, D. Gushchina, Y. Dupenhoat, S.-W. Yeh
Interannual and interdecadal variability in intermediate coupled models of the Tropical Pacific: role of the oceanic vertical structure variability versus atmospheric high frequency fluctuations.
IC01-40 A. POLONSKY
North Atlantic oscillation and ocean variability.
IC01-42 J. Servain
Characteristics of low frequency variability in a general circulation model of the Tropical Atlantic.
IC01-43 P.F. CUMMINS, G. Lagerloef
Interdecadal pycnocline variability and the late 70s regime shift in the Northeast Pacific Ocean.
IC01-47 T. INUI, P. Malanotte-Rizzoli, A.J. Busalacchi
Equatorial SST and its relation to the Subtropical-Tropical Atlantic circulation.
IC01-49 D. SUN
Why is the 1997-98 El Niño warming so strong?
IC01-50 C. DELON, L. Terray
A model study of the interannual to decadal scale variability in the North Atlantic Ocean.
IC01-38 G. GARRIC, I. N. James, C. E. Tansley
Low frequency variability with a simple sea ice-atmosphere ynamics coupled model in the southern hemisphere.